November 15, 2025

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SIGI Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates, Ups Dividend, Okays Share Buyback

SIGI Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates, Ups Dividend, Okays Share Buyback

Selective Insurance Group SIGI reported third-quarter 2025 operating income of $1.75 per share, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.9%. The bottom line, however, increased 25% year over year.

The company’s performance in the quarter reflects solid underwriting income, lower catastrophe losses, average renewal pure price increase and lower loss and loss expenses.

Total revenues of $1.4 billion increased 8.9% from the year-ago quarter’s figure, primarily due to higher net premiums written, net premiums earned and net investment income earned. The top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.4%.

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Quote

On a year-over-year basis, net premiums written (NPW) increased 4% to $1.2 billion, driven by renewal pure price increases. Average renewal pure price contracted 90 basis points year over year to 9.6%. Our estimate for NPW was $1.3 billion.

Net investment income increased 18% year over year to $110 million. 

Net catastrophe losses of $24.9 million were narrower than the year-ago loss of $148.8 million. Non-catastrophe property loss and loss expenses were $169.6 million, wider than the year-ago loss of $146.7 million.

Underwriting income of $16.7 million increased more than threefold year over year. The combined ratio of 98.6 improved 90 basis points year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate was 97.6.  Our estimate was also 97.6.

Total expenses increased 7.7% year over year to $1.2 billion, primarily due to higher loss and loss expense incurred. Our estimate was $1.9 billion.

Standard Commercial Lines’ NPW was up 4% year over year to $940.8 million. The premium growth reflected average renewal pure price increases of 8.9% and retention of 82%. Our estimate was $962.8 million. 

The combined ratio deteriorated 190 basis points (bps) to 101.1. The Zacks Consensus Estimate was 98.9 and our estimate was 97.

Standard Personal Lines’ NPW decreased 6% year over year to $104.2 million due to deliberate profit improvement actions. New business decreased 20%, while renewal pure price was 16% and retention was 79%. The figure was lower than our estimate of $120.1 million. 

The combined ratio improved 1200 bps on a year-over-year basis to 110.1. The Zacks Consensus Estimate was pegged at 99.3, while our estimate was 124.8.

Excess & Surplus Lines’ NPW was up 14% year over year to $162.9 million, driven by average renewal pure price increases of 8.3%. Our estimate was $180.6 million. 

The combined ratio improved 700 bps to 76.2. The Zacks Consensus Estimate was pegged at 88.7, while our estimate was 83.5.

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